All publications - existential risk
How long until human-level AI? Results from an expert assessment
2011
Baum S.D., Goertzel B., Goertzel T.G. (2011) How long until human-level AI? Results from an expert assessment, in Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78, 185-195.
Search for the full text: Google | DOIFrom robots to techno sapiens: Ethics, law and public policy in the development of robotics and neurotechnologies
2011
Wallach W. (2011) From robots to techno sapiens: Ethics, law and public policy in the development of robotics and neurotechnologies, in Law, Innovation and Technology 3, 185-207.
Search for the full text: Google | DOIGlobal collapse
2012
Cottey A. (2012) Global collapse, in New Scientist 213, 32-33.
Search for the full text: Google | DOITargets for global climate policy: An overview
2013
Tol R.S.J. (2013) Targets for global climate policy: An overview, in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 37, 911-928.
Search for the full text: Google | DOIAn imperative of a poorly recognized existential risk: Early socialization of smart young generation in information society
2014
Fomichov V.A., Fomichova O.S. (2014) An imperative of a poorly recognized existential risk: Early socialization of smart young generation in information society, in Informatica (Slovenia) 38, 59-70.
Search for the full text: GoogleThe topology of change: Foundations of probability with black swans
2015
Chichilnisky G. (2015) The topology of change: Foundations of probability with black swans, in Fields Institute Communications 73, 75-92.
Search for the full text: Google | DOIApocalypse now!: From exceptional rhetoric to risk management in global climate politics
2013
Methmann C., Rothe D. (2013) Apocalypse now!: From exceptional rhetoric to risk management in global climate politics, in Interpretive Approaches to Global Climate Governance: (De)Constructing the Greenhouse [volume not available], 107-122.
Search for the full text: Google | DOIThe Myth of Just Nuclear Deterrence: Time for a New Strategy to Protect Humanity from Existential Nuclear Risk
2023
Rohlfing J. (2023) The Myth of Just Nuclear Deterrence: Time for a New Strategy to Protect Humanity from Existential Nuclear Risk, in Ethics and International Affairs 37, 39-49.
Search for the full text: Google | DOIAn upper bound for the background rate of human extinction
2019
Bonsall M.B., Snyder-Beattie A.E., Ord T. (2019) An upper bound for the background rate of human extinction, in Scientific Reports 9, [pages not available].
Search for the full text: Google | DOIComplexity and fragility in system of systems
2016
Ryan M.J., Efatmaneshnik M., Bradley J. (2016) Complexity and fragility in system of systems, in International Journal of System of Systems Engineering 7, 294-312.
Search for the full text: Google | DOIManually-curated Bibliography
Other bibliographies are to be announced for specific x-risks, e.g., artificial intelligence or asteroid impact.
ML Bibliography
Publications predicted to be relevant by our Machine Learning (ML) model, but not yet assessed by humans and thus not yet in the non-ML bibliography